2003 State of the Future Now Available

The "2003 State of the Future" is now available

To order: http://www.acunu.org/millennium/sof2003.html#order

"The 2003 State of the Future report describes continuous analyses about 
widely spread global issues from the neutral view point. The study is very 
useful to understand the global trends of those issues. Many kinds of 
policy-makers can be getting inspiration through the report."  Dr. Tetsuo 
Saito, Congressman, House of Representative, Former Vice Minister of Science 
and Technology, Japan.                                           

"International responses to SARS, the September 11th attacks and the Space 
Shuttle Columbia explosion have increased global long-term thinking, but 
their impacts seem short-lived," said Jerome C. Glenn, director, The 
Millennium Project.  "One of the reasons is that while there are many answers 
to many problems, there is so much extraneous information that it is 
difficult to identify and concentrate on what is truly relevant.  Our report 
is designed to cut through this clutter by presenting clear summaries, with 
supporting materials, that capture the current informed global view of 
humanity's challenges."

The "2003 State of the Future" report consists of a series of executive 
summaries in 90 pages accompanied by a CD-ROM of approximately 2,500 pages 
with complete details of the Millennium Project's cumulative work since 1996 
and an annotated bibliography of 500 scenarios.  See table of contents below. 
The cost of the report is $49.95.

Highlights of the "2003 State of the Future" Report

Mid-term report of international study to produce Middle East peace scenarios

Key Finding:  Conducting regional water negotiations in the Middle East is 
the best way to build confidence that peace is possible in the region.

Four science and technology global scenarios for 2050 complete three-year 
study Key Findings:  Dramatic increases in collective human-machine 
intelligence are possible within 25 years.  It is also possible that within 
the same timeframe single individuals acting alone might create and use 
weapons of mass destruction.

15 Global challenges updated and improved
Key Finding:  It has become increasingly clear that humanity has the
resources to address its global challenges; what is less clear is how much 
wisdom, good will and intelligence will be focused on these challenges.

State of the Future Index (SOFI) improved
Key Finding:  The outlook for the future is getting better due to the past 20 
years of improvement in the infant mortality rate, food availability in 
low-income countries and other factors.  However, a plausible and significant 
drop in the future SOFI is due to weapons of mass distruction and nuclear 
proliferation, among other items.

"I and my colleagues at the United Nations find the 'State of the
Future's' annual guidance invaluable," stated Michael Doyle, UN assistant 
secretary-general and special advisor to UN secretary-general Kofi Annan.

"The '2003 State of the Future' Report is an exceedingly valuable and
unique resource for corporate strategic planning," commented Michael
Stoneking, partner, Deloitte & Touche.


Table of Contents - Print Section

FOREWORD
Executive Summary - 1
1. Global Challenges  - 11
2.  State of the Future Index (SOFI)  - 41
3.  Future S&T Management Policy Issues--2025 Global Scenarios - 52
4.  Middle East Peace Scenarios Study - 79
5.  Emerging Environmental Security Issues - 87
Appendix - 89
Millennium Project Participants: General Demographics
Acronyms and Abbreviations - 91

Table of Contents - CD-ROM Section

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY (11 pages)
1.  Global Challenges (about 450 pages)
2.  State of the Future Index (about 69 pages)
3. Science and Technology
3.1 Future S&T Management Policy Issues--2025 Global Scenarios
3.2 Management and Policy Implications for Future Science and Technology
Issues (about 200 pages)
3.3 Future Issues of Science and Technology (79 pages)
4.  Middle East Peace Scenarios Study
5.  Global Goals for 2050 (about 19 pages)
6. Global Scenarios (84 pages)
6.1 Science and Technology 2025 Global Scenarios
6.2 Counterterrorism - Scenarios of Antiterrorism, Actions, And Policies 
(about 60 pages)
6.3 Normative Scenario to the Year 2050
6.4 Exploratory Scenarios 2025
6.5 Very Long-Range Scenarios (1000 years)
7. World leaders on Global Challenges (42 pages)
8. Measuring and Promoting Sustainable Development (44 pages)
9. Environmental Security (265 pages)
9.1 Emerging Environmental Security Issues
9.2 Environmental Security: Emerging International definitions,
Perceptions, and Policy Considerations
9.3 Environmental Security: UN Doctrine for Managing Environmental Issues in 
Military Actions
9.4 Environmental Crimes in Military Actions and the International
Criminal Court -- UN Perspectives
9.5 Environmental Security and Military Requirements
10. Factors Required for Successful Implementation of Futures Studies in 
Decisionmaking (50 pages)
Appendices=20
Appendix A: Millennium Project Participants (list of names with
affiliation and country)
Appendix B: State of the Future Index
Appendix C: Science and Technology
Appendix D: Middle East Peace Scenarios Study
Appendix E: Global Goals for 2050
Appendix F: Global Scenarios
Appendix G: World leaders on Global Challenges
Appendix H: Measuring and Promoting Sustainable Development
Appendix I: Environmental Security
Appendix J: Factors Required for Successful Implementation of Futures
Studies in Decisionmaking
Appendix K: Annotated Bibliography of about 500 Scenario sets
Appendix L: Publications of the Millennium Project
ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS

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AC/UNU Millennium Project
4421 Garrison Street, NW
Washington, DC 20016
tel/fax: (202) 686-5179
http://millennium-project.org