Island Nations Desperate for Action

From: anstewar@fes.uwaterloo.ca
Date: Fri Nov 17 2000 - 15:47:19 EST

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     Island Nations Desperate for Action

     By JEROME SOCOLOVSKY, Associated Press Writer

     THE HAGUE, Netherlands (AP) - The omens are in their own watery
     backyards: Towering tidal waves. Vanishing atolls. Crumbling
    reefs.

     To representatives of 39 small island nations, from Cape Verde
    to Tonga and
     Tuvalu, predictions that global warming will wreak environmental
    havoc are
     not mere theories for scientific debate. As environmental
    changes threaten
     their lands, they have come to press their increasingly
    desperate case at a
     U.N. conference on climate change.

     ``These are serious issues of economics and livelihood - issues
    that can
     disrupt the social fabric of countries,'' Leonard Nurse,
    director of Barbados'
     Coastal Zone Management Unit, said Thursday.

     Nurse is one of some 6,000 delegates from more than 180
    countries in The
     Hague for the sixth U.N. climate conference. The two-week
    meeting, which
     began Monday, is aimed at reaching commitments to stem the
    warming trend,
     believed to be caused by heat-trapping emissions from industrial
    pollution and
     car exhaust.

     The island nations represented here banded together 10 years ago
    in AOSIS,
     the Alliance of Small Island States, hoping to counteract the
    clout of
     industrialized countries. They reject proposals by the United
    States and
     European countries, which want to meet emissions-reduction
    targets by
     financing ecological projects in developing countries instead of
    cutting their
     own output.

     ``Whoever caused the problem has to clear up the problem,'' said
    Yumie
     Crisostomo of the Marshall Islands. She and others dismissed
    suggestions
     that island nations should adapt to changing conditions by
    building surge
     barriers and storm drains.

     A U.N. panel of 2,000 scientists predicts temperatures will
    increase by as
     much as 10.8 degrees Fahrenheit in the next 100 years, raising
    sea levels by
     up to 31 inches.

     Already, the effect are being felt.

     In the Maldives, an Indian Ocean archipelago, several atolls
    have become
     permanently inundated, even at low tide. Officials blame global
    warming,
     noting that there is no oil drilling in the area and geological
    sinkage has been
     ruled out.

     ``We can find no other reason to point to,'' Nurse said.

     Islands are at particular risk because common sources of
    livelihood - often
     tourism and agriculture - are clustered along the vulnerable
    coasts. Changes
     in water temperature can erode coral reefs, and rising seas
    threaten
     freshwater supplies.

     ``In Barbados, some of the coastal wells are showing increasing
    levels of
     salinity,'' Nurse said. ``Barbados is already one of the most
    water-scarce
     countries in the world.''

     Rising waters have also swamped islets in the Pacific nations of
    Kiribati and
     Tuvalu, destroying roads and bridges and washing away
    traditional burial
     sites.

     The threat is not only from rising water levels. Cyclones,
    hurricanes, droughts
     and other natural disasters are also believed to be associated
    with climate
     change.

     For many islands, the potential effects are compounded by scarce
    resources.

     Niue is an economically struggling flyspeck island in the South
    Pacific whose
     population of 1,800 is a third of what it was in the 1970s, in
    part because
     young people have moved away. A 1990 cyclone sent 100-foot waves
     crashing over the coastal cliffs and wiped away homes on the
    shore,
     according to David Poihega of the island's meteorological
    service.

     ``If we have another extreme event or a prolonged drought, it
    could displace
     all of us,'' he said. ``We are an endangered species.''

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