Global Warming Outlook Gets Bleaker

From: Jayne Musumba (jayne@sidsnet.org)
Date: Mon Oct 30 2000 - 12:39:14 EST

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    Beating the Heat, a Practical Manual of Climate Change

    BERKELEY, California, October 27, 2000 (ENS) - Scientists charged
    with forecasting global temperature increases due to climate
    change have almost doubled their worst case scenarios since their
    last assessment for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
    in 1995.

    The latest projections to the year 2100 range from a 1.5 to 6
    degrees centigrade increase in global average temperatures.

    In 1995, the projections were for increases between one and 3.5
    degrees.

    The report also suggests more strongly than in the past that
    human induced climate change is actually occurring.

    The IPCC forecasts have emerged months before representatives of
    the world's governments were due to agree them and just before
    world governments meet in the Hague to finalise rules for
    implementing the United Nations Kyoto Protocol.

    Now, just in time, an easy to understand primer on climate change
    - its causes and consequences - is on the market in the form of a
    slim paperback by John Berger entitled, "Beating the Heat: Why
    and How We Must Combat Global Warming."

    Berger involves the reader from the start in a swoop across the
    Earth in the year 2100 after the climate has warmed. Trees have
    died, permafrost has melted, wetlands have turned to deserts,
    fires are burning across a seared landscape.

    An independent energy and environmental consultant who has worked
    for the National Research Council and corporations such as
    Lockheed and Chevron as well as non-profit groups and the U.S.
    Congress, Berger embarks on a dramatized explanation of the
    political scene in the year 2100.

    Back in real time, Berger points out that the oil and coal
    industries "are conducting a sophisticated multimillion dollar
    campaign to convince the public that climate change is not a
    serious threat. The campaign opposes international cooperation to
    protect the world's climate."

    "The industries involved have succeeded in confusing tens of
    millions of people about climate change," Berger says. He goes
    into detail about the opposition of the fossil fuel industries to
    the international agreement to cut heat trapping greenhouse gas
    emissions, the Kyoto Protocol.

    Signed but not ratified by the 39 industrialized nations whose
    emissions it controls, the Kyoto Protocol will be the subject of
    a final set of negotiations next month in the Netherlands.

    In the chapter, "Myths and Mythmakers," Berger identifies by name
    the paid "climate skeptics" who speak for the oil and coal
    industries.

    A few pages later he also identifies the fossil fuel producers
    who have joined the Business Environmental Leadership Council of
    the Pew Center of Global Climate Change. This group accepts the
    views of most scientists that while some uncertainties remain,
    enough is known about climate change to take action. "It
    advocates emission reductions by business through improved energy
    efficiency, and it recognizes the Kyoto agreement as an important
    first step toward further international cooperation," Berger
    writes.

    The book briefly summarizes the main renewable energy
    technologies: biomass, geothermal, hydropower, solar and wind,
    fuel cells.

    In sum, Berger's attitude is hopeful and he offers an array of
    practical actions that ordinary people can take to reverse
    climate change. He encourages the purchase of fuel efficient
    vehicles, the practice of energy efficiency at home and on the
    job, and the planting of trees.

    He advocates eating organic foods grown close to the consumer.
    "Avoiding food shipped long distances will reduce the large
    amounts of energy consumed in transportation. So will choosing
    organic foods that are produced without energy-intensive
    pesticides, herbicides, and synthetic fertilizers," Berger
    writes.

    Finally, the book lists one or two organizations that are active
    on energy and climate issues in each state with contact numbers,
    email addresses and websites.

    "Beating the Heat" is published by Berkeley Hills Books and is
    available online at: http://www.berkeleyhills.com

    SOURCE: Environment News Service (ENS)

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