PACIFIC: Climate Changes Affecting Pacific Islands

From: Jayne Musumba (jayne@sidsnet.org)
Date: Wed Jun 28 2000 - 11:40:54 EDT

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    CLIMATE CHANGES AFFECTING PACIFIC ISLANDS

    By Craig DeSilva

    HONOLULU Hawai‘i (June 27, 2000 - PIDP/CPIS)---Small, isolated
    Pacific Islands have always been vulnerable to global climate
    changes and weather phenomena.

    Although weather forecasters can make broad predictions, it’s
    difficult to pinpoint exactly when or where a typhoon or
    hurricane will hit.

    But Pacific Island countries and territories can prepare
    themselves in advance to minimize disastrous effects during
    weather-changing periods.

    "By anticipating in advance, you can take some preparatory
    action," said Eileen Shea, an adjunct fellow of environmental
    studies at the East-West Center. "I think all of the Pacific
    Island nations are looking at adapting to climate change as well
    as reducing greenhouse gases."

    Shea will give a talk Wednesday at the Mauna Lani Bay Hotel on
    the Big Island of Hawai‘i on "Consequences of Climate Change:
    Challenges and Opportunities for Pacific Islands and Hawai‘i."

    Shea said Pacific Islands that are alerted to major global
    climate changes can prepare themselves in advance. For example,
    regarding the 1997-98 El Niño in the Pacific, the Federated
    States of Micronesia formed a drought task force before it
    occurred.

    The FSM also developed a public awareness campaign to alert the
    general population to minimize the effects of the drought.

    "Water conservations measures were instituted earlier rather than
    later," Shea said.

    In the Republic of Palau, a decision was made to extend the
    height and width of the main island’s principle dam prior to the
    wet season so it could hold as much rainfall as possible before
    drought set in.

    Shea is also the Climate Project Coordinator at the East-West
    Center. The EWC’s Pacific Islands Regional Assessment program is
    made up of scientists, researchers, and other officials from the
    United States and Pacific Islands who are working to deal with
    climate change issues throughout the Pacific.

    The one-year program is being conducted in conjunction with the
    Office of the U.S. Global Change Research Program, which is
    looking into climate change. Shea said the Pacific Islands
    community will have an opportunity through public hearings to
    present input on a just released draft report entitled
    "Climate Change Impacts on the United States: The Potential
    Consequences of Climate Variability and Change." The public
    hearings end in August.

    Shea said although rising sea levels have been a constant issue
    facing the Pacific, there are other climate changes that have
    just as important implications.

    "For a variety of reasons, sea-level rise has had a hammerlock on
    discussions of vulnerability to climate change," Shea said. "What
    we’re trying to do is expand our thinking to address other issues
    beyond sea level."

    Some of the climate issues posing a threat to the Pacific
    include:

         · Increase in air temperature, which can possibly increase
    the intensity of El Niños;

         · Changes and increased intensity in tropical cyclone
    patterns as a result of global warming;

         · Changes in ocean circulation patterns and temperatures,
    which affect fish stock in the Pacific. Some fish in the Pacific,
    such as tuna, tend to follow warmer water. "If El Niños are more
    frequent, tuna migratory patterns will change," she said. "That
    has significant impacts because that means they can move in and
    out of a nation’s jurisdiction. And that’s quite significant
    particularly for (Pacific) jurisdictions that might be thinking
    tuna fisheries are an economic source in the future."

         · Warming of ocean temperatures impacting coral reefs. "The
    1997-98 El Niño saw substantial bleaching of coral reefs around
    the Pacific," Shea said. "They were much more severe than in the
    past. That could lead to secondary impacts on surrounding
    ecosystems and tourism."

    "The islands that are most vulnerable are the low-lying atolls,"
    she said. "Any island that doesn’t have mountainous relief is
    problematic. And it varies across the Pacific. Some islands are
    tectonically growing, such as the Big Island of Hawaii. But
    others are actually sinking because of tectonics."

    Shea adds a recent study shows that the Pacific is experiencing
    the same average rate of rising sea levels as the rest of the
    world.

    "They’re not seeing an enhancement in sea-level rise any more
    than (elsewhere) in the world," she said. "The sea-level rise
    issue is a long-term issue, (one) of whether you’re going to have
    an island, because it (may) be covered over."

    SOURCE: Pacific Islands Report

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